Will China go to war in 2024?
Plus
20
Ṁ1301Jan 1
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if the People's Republic of China engages in military combat (in which there are over 1,000 total casualties) at any point during the year 2024.
Resolves NO on 1/1/2025 if no such war is initiated.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will China invade Taiwan by the end of 2024?
3% chance
Will China invade/blockade Taiwan in 2024?
5% chance
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
12% chance
Will China experience a military coup before 2028?
18% chance
Will China launch an attack on Taiwan in 2024?
5% chance
Will there be a US-China war if Trump gets elected in 2024?
22% chance
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
3% chance
Will China launch a war on the US by 2028?
19% chance
Will America go to war in 2024?
14% chance
Will China declare war on another country by 2030?
25% chance