This is intended to be part of a series of markets evaluating how Twitter is doing a bit over a year after ownership by Elon Musk.
At the end of 2023 if Twitter is still privately owned by Elon Musk this market resolves YES.
Post of related markets:
https://manifold.markets/post/evaluating-twitter-after-a-year-of
https://slate.com/technology/2023/04/twitter-inc-x-corp-elon-musk-x-nevada.html
in its most recent filing, the company provided notice that “Twitter, Inc. has been merged into X Corp. and no longer exists.”
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Elon Musk, who owns Twitter as well as X Holdings Corp
Interesting technicality - as I understand it, Twitter Inc is no longer exists and so is not privately owned by Elon Musk. However, Twitter, the app not the company, is now owned by X Holding Corp which is in turn owned by Elon Musk.
@SneakySly How would you interpret this news? Does this fulfill the resolution criteria or does the transitive ownership of the app still count as as Elon Musk privately owning Twitter?
@Weepinbell I think X is clearly the successor company to Twitter, and for the purposes of questions like this, the question should just follow the company through renamings or restructurings like this. (Example: if someone asked a question about Google's stock price, you would answer now based on Alphabet's stock price, even though technically they restructured/renamed/whatever.)
@IsaacKing No way that he would do it in this short of a timeframe. To take it public again he'll want to show that it has a valuation of more than he bought it for, which means higher earnings that will take a while to process through (even if they start tomorrow, which they don't seem to be). He might be pretty hands off by the end of 2023, but it'll need more time before he could profitably take it public.