As the last two markets resolved NO as Manifold's growth has seemed to stall, we will be using a very conservative estimate and give a little longer for this market.
IF Manifold at any point has 225 or more daily active users as measured by https://manifold.markets/stats this market resolves YES.
ELSE this market resolves NO.
Followup market for:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ119 | |
| 2 | Ṁ35 | |
| 3 | Ṁ21 | |
| 4 | Ṁ8 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
@SneakySly Good question. I think our biggest focus will be on the retention of new users (improving D1: the fraction that come back the day the next day), so DAU wouldn't exactly be the goal.
However, our stated goal for the end of the quarter (October 1st) is 500 DAU, so really we should be reaching 200+ on Sept 1st to be on target.
I think we're just starting to figure out what metrics we want, and what our goals should be. E.g. We'll be starting to record and reflect on our key metrics on a weekly basis during Monday's standup.
So give us a few weeks, and I'll give you a better answer on what a good, achievable goal is.