Will Anthropic automate AI research in 2024?
34
1kṀ6942resolved Jan 2
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will this happen?
If Anthropic succesfully automates AI research in 2024 this market resolves YES.
Otherwise this market resolves NO at close (start of 2025).
I will ultimately be using my own judgement and deciding based on the spirit of this market. I plan to be heavily watching Anthropic, investigating what AI researchers believe, and getting input and feedback from others.
A minor amount of irrelevant tasks automated won't count, we are talking about a meaningful amount of AI research automation.
I will NOT bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ58 | |
| 2 | Ṁ54 | |
| 3 | Ṁ53 | |
| 4 | Ṁ44 | |
| 5 | Ṁ31 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Anthropic be the best on AI safety among major AI labs at the end of 2025?
88% chance
Will Anthropic have AI-related IP stolen before 2026?
28% chance
Will Anthropic announce one of their AI systems is ASL-4 or higher before the end of 2025?
7% chance
By the end of 2025, will OpenAI and Anthropic merge?
2% chance
Will Anthropic announce one of their AI systems is ASL-3 before the end of 2025?
89% chance
Will Anthropic, before 2035, completely halt development of AI and attempt to persuade other organizations to do so?
21% chance
Will I have a research position at Anthropic (Research Engineer included) by the end of 2025?
13% chance
Will Anthropic launch something cryptocurrency related in 2025?
10% chance
Will Anthropic be acquired by another company before the end of 2025?
2% chance
Between 2024-2025, does Anthropic consume more total Adderall than OpenAI?
16% chance