Will there be any riots in Paris between August 1, 2023, and August 31, 2023?
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242
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resolved Sep 1
Resolved
NO

RIOT: a violent or tumultuous disturbance of the public peace by three or more persons assembled together and acting with a common intent. They usually entail acts such as vandalism, destruction of property, looting, clashes with law enforcement or opposing groups, and other forms of aggressive or unlawful conduct.

Dates are inclusive, therefore if riots occur on August 1st or 31st, this market will resolve YES

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I'd be surprised if the Gilet Jaune protests don't qualify.

@MaybeNotDepends Though maybe they'd died down in size/vigor?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UggE_LxY4Hk

predicted NO

@MaybeNotDepends while I'd argue that the video you linked shows a protest rather than a riot, the gilet jaunes protests did get pretty violent.

https://youtu.be/YP66c1oXE3w?si=5jiXHaIN0J_P3txs

From what I can gleam from this video, it might count as having met all of the market conditions.

However, I am willing to hear out anyone who wants to put forward an argument against that interpretation of events.

Yeah mine was an example of it looking pretty tame and small. I saw the other video too which would qualify, except that I think it's historical footage from before August (not sure I didn't pay close attention).

predicted NO

@MaybeNotDepends Indeed, the video was posted in August but the events are from June/July.

predicted NO

@figo @MaybeNotDepends ahh ok. Then is everyone happy for me to resolve this market to NO?

@SneakyElbow Sure. I'd bet real money that there was a group of people that did vandalism, but proving it isn't worth anyone's time.

So 3+ rowdy college students that do some graffiti?