I think 3-4 days 👁‍🗨👀👀

Its over

@SirCryptomind https://www.reddit.com/r/place/comments/159lmhp/maybe_the_real_friends_were_creations_made_along/
Looks like it's over

Should resolve 5-6 then

@parhizj

@DavidChee Will you resolve this, please?

Seems to have ended just now.

It ends today.

Soon.

@SirCryptomind I don't have the app. Is that an app notification notice? Or is it a post from a random user?

@parhizj Android App notification

@SirCryptomind Hmm.. what is "soon" though? Tonight or 1 hour?

@SirCryptomind I looked at the timestamps for the posts titled "Official Canvas Timelapse [...]" They all fall between 5-8 PM. So perhaps it will close in 3-6 hours from now. That sounds like a good "soon" to me.

@parhizj Cool, hopefully it is around 6pm ET. Gotta get a booger on Destinys face lol
https://manifold.markets/ElmerFudd/will-destinys-face-be-defaced-at-al

https://manifold.markets/FernandoIrarrazaval/will-rplace-end-by-2359pm-new-york

Will r/place end by 23:59pm New York time?

50% chance.

Ok still going on so we are now in 5+ range (I'll try never betting in markets like this in the future as I do so terribly in them)

@parhizj For future reference (it's still going on and it's 9:30PM EST). I'm going to sleep.

so is everyone in agreement that it ticks over to 5days at 9:23:55 PM EST? @DavidChee

@nickten admins are cruel 😭 I want to go to sleep!

I'm going by this start time, that is, going by the event announcement post time here: https://www.reddit.com/r/reddit/comments/154qutf/rplace_is_back_again/ (hover over the first post's 4 days ago....) at July 20 9:23:55 AM EST. According to the market criteria, then, if it closes before July 24: 9:23:55 PM EST then it should resolve to 4 days.

At 3:56 PM EST, the google play store description (have to use mobile to see it, click on the event) shows it ends in 4 hours. 4 minutes later at 4:00 PM EST I checked it and now it shows it ends in 3 hours. That makes the ending time on July 24, 7:00 PM EST.

This makes it just shy of 4.5 days (closer to 4 days). There isn't another official date timestamp on the closing, so it's unknown whether it will actually close at 7 PM ( or before 9:23:55 PM EST), but the last post says that there will be no more expansions ("last expansion").

@parhizj sometimes people round times in weird ways, e.g. an event will roll over from "ends in 1 hour" to "ends in 59 minutes". That would still put it in the <4.5 day bracket though, so I think your analysis is correct.

The market description also states very explicitly that rounding towards nearest answer is used.

@VitorBosshard Yeah, as for rounding on the google store page, it now says "ends soon". I think they were either truncating the hour (so it ends at 8PM?) or they are going to manually stop it soon. Or its possible its just a soft deadline.

It's already the 5th as far as I know. So this is a safe bet for 5+, right?
https://www.reddit.com/r/place/wiki/canvas_rules/ for instance shows the rules set 5 days ago....
and the time lapse for day 1 was 4 days ago:
https://www.reddit.com/r/place/comments/1553p2x/official_rplace_canvas_timelapse_day_1/

@parhizj i believe it started 4 days and 30 minutes ago, so if it ends in the next 11 hours, I think this market should still resolve 4 days.

@FlorisvanDoorn I don't know which hoops you're jumping through to define this as 4 days... https://www.reddit.com/r/place/comments/158ao91/global_leaderboard_day_5/

@ianminds thank you for your snarky comment! Can you either point me to the leaderboard of day 4 or explain me why the leaderboard of day 5 was posted 24 hours after the leaderboard of day 3?

@FlorisvanDoorn Hh, no! I'm trying to spend as little time as possible on there... Apologies for not looking too closely at anything.

@FlorisvanDoorn I just learned how to check the post time (hovering) and that rule set I mentioned was definitely created before it launched, so I am going by what I mentioned in my other post to bet.