When Will The Ability To P2P Transfer Managrams "Officially" Cease To Exist?
RESOLUTION:
YES = Official Statement From Staff in Discord and/or Notion and/or A Banner Posted On The Manifold.Markets home page.
NO = Any Date That Is Incorrect In The Prediction Will Resolve No (Independently From All Options)
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PLEASE WHEN ADDING, INCLUDE ONLY MONTH, DATE, YEAR (In That Order!) ; Any Duplicates I Reserve The Right To Change It To A Date Within 1-2 Days Of Your Addition, If Those Dates Are Not Available, It Will Be Put To The Nearest Date Before Or After Your Date Added.
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CONTEXT:
As Of 05/10/2024 Via THE NEW DEAL ANNOUNCEMENT IN DISCORD.
While I Do Not Usually Predict In My Own Markets, This Market I MAY Predict If I Feel In My Own Opinion That I Need To Correct How I Feel. I May Lose, I May Be Right, Time Will Tell.
This Market Extend At The End Of Every Month
1,000
3.00@Nat
Other is for any date that is not added, it would resolve to OTHER.
The dates present currently would resolve YES if it is the exact date it is cut off.
@Nat
Other is for any date that is not added, it would resolve to OTHER.
The dates present currently would resolve YES if it is the exact date it is cut off.
@SirCryptomind Sorry, still confused; if (for example) managrams stopped today how would each of the dates and 'Other' resolve?
@SirCryptomind Also, I gather that "If you have shares in OTHER, any new dates added, You will get Shares in that new date" is not correct given the market type; that would only be the case if this was a linked market
@SirCryptomind No problem, and thank you for all the clarifications!
A couple more questions sorry:
Would it be valid to add the date after the change happens? Or after Manifold reveals what date they're planning to do it on? Like if on the 8th of June they suddenly remove managrams out of the blue, could I just add "June 08, 2024" to the market, bet it up, and then bet OTHER down to ~0%? Or would that be invalid?
And re the 10,000 Mana subsidy you're planning to add, do you mean May 15th?
Also, what time zone is this based on?
@Nat 3am PST (Since that is Manifolds time).
If you have insider information before any official Manifold announcement, than it is fair game to add that answer!
But yes, If something like your scenarios occurs, and I am not tending to the market, and the market is opened, YES you can add the date as long as the market is open!
I am trying to get a loan to add the 10k Mana Subsidy ASAP, otherwise it will get added within the next few days when Manifold changes the cost of Mana.