Will we successfully rent the 4bed/1.5 unit below us?
7
104Ṁ377resolved May 25
Resolved
NO1H
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1D
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1M
ALL
So it turns out the unit below us has been available for a while! I'd love to rent it out to a bunch of friends, and live the group house dream. Not posting the address because I don't want anyone to snipe it, but it's a great place, centrally located in the Mission; this would be on the first floor though, so maybe a bit noisier.
Resolves true iff I or a friend of mine signs a lease for the unit, before the market close date.
P.S. If you (yes, you, reading this) are ever in SF and want to hang out, hit me up at akrolsmir@gmail.com, I love love love chatting with Manifold users~
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https://manifold.markets/Sinclair/what-should-we-call-the-4bed15-unit
@ZianChoy it's been on the market for 303 days, according to Zillow, probably due to the misadvertised bathroom. (It's also above market rate.)
@Undox it turns out that 1) was true. The place was advertised as having 1.5 bathrooms, but only had 1. Not very tenable for a 4 bedroom asking for a price which would require at least 4 people to pay rent. I am one of the potential rentees; we asked the landlord to install a second toilet at his own expense prior to our potential move-in date.
I went for NO because of the good odds, and also I reckon SF you will have competition, but at the same time I am not confident to take the odds lower because you said they have been empty for a while, so I wonder why that is. I can think of:
1. The have been doing renovations, it wasn't too habitable before, now it is. (good for NO)
2. Bad marketing (good for YES)
3. Bad market (unlikely? good for YES)
4. Priced too high (depends on how much you are willing to overpay for that convenience)
5. Fussy Landlord (fussy about who lives there, good for YES as they already accepted you as a tennant on another unit)