Will weight-loss drugs power a 1% annual growth increase in US GDP?
19
1kṀ637
2031
19%
chance

Barron's claims that:

"If 60 million Americans got the weight-loss drugs and 90% of them benefited, that could translate to over a 1% boost to U.S. GDP from the bigger labor force and higher productivity"

Reference:

https://www.barrons.com/articles/why-ozempic-could-power-the-nations-gdp-234b346e

This market turns true if by 2030:

  • It's been empirically proven that the impact of obesity drug has led to at least 1% yearly GDP growth improvement in the USA, or

  • 60 million Americans got the weight-loss in 2030, AND expert consensus seems to validate this growth claim. [In case of uncertain outcome, we may validate it through a manifold poll]

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