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MANIFOLD
Will this market have 11 or more unique predictors?
13
Ṁ270Ṁ1.4k
resolved Apr 11
Resolved
YES

Will 11 or more people put in a prediction on this market?

Bots don't count towards the total. If I predict, I do count.

I may close this market early if the answer is YES but I won't extend the close date if the answer is NO.

This is the latest version of this market - each time the target increases by one so it should be a bit less of a certain thing. Here's how the previous markets went:

Six or more? Target hit in 7 minutes

Seven or more? Target hit in 1 hour 37 minutes

Eight or more? Target hit in 2 hours 12 minutes

Nine or more? Target hit in 12 hours and 8 minutes

Ten or more? Target hit in 29 minutes

I'm not sure why it suddenly sailed through for 10 when 9 was such a challenge. Let's see what 11 brings!

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So we raced to 10 pretty quickly and took a while to wait for the 11th predictor.

It took 1 hour 32 minutes to hit the target!

The next iteration of the market is here: