
Will this market have 12 or more unique predictors?
14
Ṁ290Ṁ4.5kresolved Apr 11
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will 12 or more people put in a prediction on this market?
Bots don't count towards the total. If I predict, I do count.
I may close this market early if the answer is YES but I won't extend the close date if the answer is NO.
This is the latest version of this market - each time the target increases by one so it should be a bit less of a certain thing. Here's how the previous markets went:
Six or more? Target hit in 7 minutes
Seven or more? Target hit in 1 hour 37 minutes
Eight or more? Target hit in 2 hours 12 minutes
Nine or more? Target hit in 12 hours and 8 minutes
Ten or more? Target hit in 29 minutes
11 or more? Target hit in 1 hour 32 minutes
What will 12 bring? At what level is there finally value in predicting NO?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ49 | |
| 2 | Ṁ28 | |
| 3 | Ṁ24 | |
| 4 | Ṁ23 | |
| 5 | Ṁ13 |