Will the UK's monthly GDP figure published on 12th June show positive growth?
Basic
25
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resolved Jun 12
Resolved
NO

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest monthly GDP reading at 7:00 UK time on Wednesday 12th June.

This is the month-on-month figure - released around six weeks after the end of the month that is being measured (April in this case).

Will this reading show positive growth?

Resolution notes:

  • A reading of 0.0% resolves to NO

  • This market resolves based on the reading published on the day, future revisions are not relevant

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The final monthly GDP reading before the general election is out and it's in at 0.0%.

https://www.theguardian.com/business/article/2024/jun/12/uk-economy-flatlines-sunak-gdp-general-election

That means that this market resolves to NO.

How will things look next month?

/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-monthly-gdp-figure-pub-1gyw9jvwqw