Will the UK's monthly GDP figure published on 13th March show positive growth?
27
108
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resolved Mar 13
Resolved
YES

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest monthly GDP reading at 7:00 UK time on Wednesday 13th March.

This is the month-on-month figure - released around six weeks after the end of the month that is being measured (December in this case).

Will this reading show positive growth?

Resolution notes:

  • A reading of 0.0% resolves to NO

  • This market resolves based on the reading published on the day, future revisions are not relevant

Here are some markets on other UK economic stats:

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Monthly GDP growth of 0.2% has been confirmed so this resolves YES:

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/mar/13/hopes-of-economic-recovery-boosted-as-uk-gdp-rises-by-02-in-january

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-68550259

Next month's market is below. This was the first month of the quarter, so another two positive months will see us officially get out of recession:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-monthly-gdp-figure-pub-3246ff166c1e

We've also got an inflation reading and a decision from the Bank of England coming up in the next few days. Predict here:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-bank-of-england-change-the-f274c791206a

/SimonGrayson/how-high-will-the-uks-cpi-inflation-9ccb890e03f0