How high will the UK's CPI inflation figure published on 20th March be?

715Ṁ3832

resolved Mar 20

ALL

Resolved

YES

3.0% or above

Resolved

3.5% or above

Resolved

4.0% or above

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest inflation figures at 7:00 UK time on Wednesday 20th March.

This includes the annual CPI number for the past 12 months.

Here are the last few readings (based on the month when the figures were released):

July 2023 - 7.9%

August 2023 - 6.8%

September 2023 - 6.7%

October 2023 - 6.7%

November 2023 - 4.6%

December 2023 - 3.9%

January 2024 - 4.0%

February 2024 - 4.0%

March 2024 - TBC

Some other UK financial markets:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-monthly-gdp-figure-pub-5cb61d5d7909

/SimonGrayson/will-the-bank-of-england-change-the-f274c791206a

/SimonGrayson/where-will-the-uks-ftse-100-end-202

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CPI inflation has come in at 3.4%:

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2024/mar/20/uk-inflation-rate-falls-february-consumer-prices-index-cpi

Next month's market is here:

/SimonGrayson/how-high-will-the-uks-cpi-inflation-4a4c55487ecd

And you can still predict tomorrow's decision from the Bank of England and the next GDP reading here:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-bank-of-england-change-the-f274c791206a

/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-monthly-gdp-figure-pub-3246ff166c1e

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

Why use play money?

Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.

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