Will the UK's CPI inflation figure published on 21st June be below 8%?
13
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resolved Jun 21
Resolved
NO

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest inflation figures at 7:00 BST on Tuesday 21st June.

This includes the annual CPI number for the past 12 months.

Here are the last few readings (based on the month when the figures were released):

January 2023 - 10.5%

February 2023 - 10.1%

March 2023 - 10.4%

April 2023 - 10.1%

May 2023 - 8.7%

June 2023 - TBC

(The market will resolve to NO if the figure is exactly 8.0%)

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predicted NO

Interesting that this one was at 50% to 70% for most of the month and then fell so sharply overnight before the figure was released.

Was there some kind of leak or preview overnight, or did the inflation pessimists only notice this market at the last moment? Well done to everyone who had the confidence to push this all the way down to 10%!

Next month's market's are here:

/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-cpi-inflation-figure-p-3a7a61e1b617

/SimonGrayson/will-the-uks-cpi-inflation-figure-p-768da41aa77c

predicted NO

@SimonGrayson I had just found it by sorting to "closing soon" and was hoping it would hit 9% exactly, hence the action on both of the markets you had from like 10 hours ago.