Will the UK's CPI inflation figure published on 19th July be below 8%?
13
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resolved Jul 19
Resolved
YES

The UK's Office for National Statistics will publish the latest inflation figures at 7:00 BST on Wednesday 19th July.

This includes the annual CPI number for the past 12 months.

Here are the last few readings (based on the month when the figures were released):

January 2023 - 10.5%

February 2023 - 10.1%

March 2023 - 10.4%

April 2023 - 10.1%

May 2023 - 8.7%

June 2023 - 8.7%

July 2023 - TBC

(The market will resolve to NO if the figure is exactly 8.0%)

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predicted NO

Damn, well I lost a lot of mana but at least my cost of living might not be so high I guess... 🙃

predicted YES

Wow I really shoulda bought more yes , I had it pinged around 8-8.1

bought Ṁ500 of YES

An unexpectedly large drop - inflation came in at 7.9% this morning so this resolves to YES:

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2023/jul/19/uk-inflation-interest-rates-bank-of-england