Will Manifold pay out real cash to traders and/or creators in 2024?
Basic
8
Ṁ826
Dec 8
0.5%
I (@SimonGrayson) will not receive any money in 2024
90%
I (@SimonGrayson) will get money as a creator but not as a trader
0.6%
I (@SimonGrayson) will get money as a trader but not as a creator
9%
I (@SimonGrayson) will get money as both a trader and a creator

Manifold announced their creator partner programme earlier this year and I was one of the first wave of creators to join it:

https://manifold.markets/partner-explainer

Manifold have also announced that their long awaited "pivot" will involve real money payouts for successful traders:

https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/A-New-Deal-for-Manifold-c6e9de8f08b549859c64afb3af1dd393

I have already had enough traders on my markets that I should be above any reasonable threshold for a payout from the creator partner programme (you can see my status here, but this page often takes ages to load).

I'm also a successful trader. I've got a lifetime profit of 77,000 Mana which puts me at number 77 in the all time trading profit leaderboard.

I will attempt to cash out at least some of my profits this year if the option is available to me. Will it be?

Note that I am not based in the US. I'm a UK citizen based in London, so if any of these payouts are US-only, I will not be able to get a payout.


Update 12th August - I was paid out from the creator program at the end of the first quarter, so two of the resolutions here are now impossible!

I've also got over 50k in prize points. I will cash out a minimum of 20k of them if we get the option to cash out our prize points and the minimum payout is that low.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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Have you gotten any partner payout?

Yes I have!

I've also got 50k in prize points, so I'll update the description to make that clear...

I dunno, what if you're just REALLY unlucky 😛

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