Northern Ireland local elections 2023 - will Sinn Fein win the most seats?
4
110Ṁ9518
resolved May 20
Resolved
YES

The Northern Ireland local elections took place on Thursday 19th May.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Northern_Ireland_local_elections

Counting of votes started in the morning of Friday 20th May. Results are expected to start coming in on Friday afternoon and into Saturday.

The parties are defending the following seat totals (based on the results of the 2019 elections):

DUP - 122 seats

Sinn Fein - 105 seats

UUP - 75 seats

SDLP - 59 seats

Alliance - 53 seats

Green Party - 8 seats

Once the results are finalised, will the DUP have the most seats?

If Sinn Fein have the most seats, this market will resolve to YES

If another party has more seats than Sinn Fein, this market will resolvle to NO

If Sinn Fein are tied for the most seats with another party, this market will resolve at 50% (or 33% if it's a three way tie, etc)

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ54
2Ṁ32
3Ṁ12
Sort by:

Should have made Sinn Fein markets for 130 and 140 seats 😂

predictedYES

@Fedor Yes - I thought getting into the 120s was their best case scenario!

I seem to have underestimated how many seats SF and the DUP would get put together - I thought 120 would be more than enough to make them the biggest party...

Here are all of the markets I've created around these local elections:

I'll extend the closing time on any of these if they haven't been decided by the time the markets close.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules