Manifold Leagues Season 5 - What score will be needed to survive in Masters league?
Manifold Leagues Season 5 - What score will be needed to survive in Masters league?
8
560Ṁ12kresolved Oct 3
100%99.9%
Below 8,000
0.0%
8,000 to 9,999
0.0%
10,000 to 11,999
0.0%
12,000 to 13,999
0.0%
14,000 to 15,999
0.0%
16,000 to 17,999
0.0%
18,000 to 19,999
0.0%
20,000 or more
Season 5 of the Manifold Leagues sees absurdly sized 49-player top Masters League:
https://manifold.markets/leagues/5/masters/stellar-poltergeists
24 players get relegated back down to the Diamond Leagues while 25 survive in the top flight. What will the cutoff be to survive in the league (ie. the points achieved by 24th place)?
The score needed in the last two seasons (since the Masters League was introduced):
Seasaon 3 13,317 for 10th
Season 4 12,885 for 17th
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.