Aquaman made over a billion dollars in 2018, but between the DCEU's struggles and the general lack of enthusiasm for superhero films, those days seem long gone.
The sequel, Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom comes out in the US, the UK and plenty of other international markets today.
Will the overall worldwide gross surpass the figures listed here?
Resolution notes
The options in this market are independent of one another. So if the film grosses $275 million, the options for $200 million and $250 million will both resolve at 100% and the options for $300 million and above will resolve at 0%
I will consider 30th June 2024 to be the cutoff for these markets. It's pretty unlikely that this release will stay in cinemas for anywhere near that long, and any re-release after that date won't count for this market
BoxOffficeMojo will be used as the source of truth for this market - whatever they define as this film's gross will be how the market is resovled. Unless there is an obvious mistake or typo that is about to be corrected, whatever BOM says goes!
Other Box Office markets:
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1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ347 | |
| 2 | Ṁ291 | |
| 3 | Ṁ132 | |
| 4 | Ṁ124 | |
| 5 | Ṁ120 |
@SimonGrayson Aquaman left theaters last week. Reddit source, plus BoxOfficeMojo stopped listing any new grosses. Can the remaining options now resolve NO? No need to clog up the feed/lock away people's mana when this is finished.
@Ziddletwix I said in the description that I'd leave this open until 30th June, so it's not impossible that it will reopen somewhere or recognise some more international revenue at some point...
Though I agree that that's very unlikely and that I should have set an earlier date on it!
@ElenaChurilov You're the only trader with a significant YES position. Are you satisfied that this isn't going to happen and that this can be resolved (possibly with a promise from @Ziddletwix if something crazy happens and Aquaman reopens somewhere and makes another $65 million)?
Looks like the final two can resolve NO? Announcement that Aquaman’s initial theatrical run is over https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1bercox/aquaman_2_is_tapping_out_with_1244m_domestic_210m/
https://collider.com/aquaman-2-global-box-office-434-million/
Collider is calling this the end of the global box office run (and it’s nowhere close to 450 or 500)
Looks like >350M can resolve YES (although it includes estimates for the weekend, so also fine to wait a few more days).
@SimonGrayson Thanks! Same with your Wonka market too; a couple options can be resolved. $400M can most definitely be resolved after this weekend too.
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