Two floor votes have not been enough to elect a new Speaker of the House - Jim Jordan lost the first vote with 20 Republicans voting against him and the second with 22 voting against him:

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So now we go to a third vote. How many Republicans will vote against Jim Jordan in the third round?

Important note - Jordan may or may not be the Republican nominee or he could pull out of the race before the third vote. Even if that happens, this market will still be live and will still resolve to the number of Republicans voting against him.

• This is a count of Republican House members who vote for another candidate or who vote "present". Members who are physically absent or who abstain will not be included.

• This market applies to the next vote where members of the House vote for named candidates. Any other type of vote (a motion to delay, an up/down vote on any candidate, a vote on whether to vote, etc) will be ignored.

• If there is no further Speaker vote until after the next Congressional elections, this market resolves to N/A