Three floor votes have not been enough to elect a new Speaker of the House. Jim Jordan has been losing ground with every vote, losing the first three votes with with 20, 22 and 25 Republicans voting against him:

/SimonGrayson/how-many-republicans-will-vote-agai

/SimonGrayson/how-many-republicans-will-vote-agai-bbab68d48ffe

/SimonGrayson/how-many-republicans-will-vote-agai-cfd3566b9a4b

So now we go to a fourth vote. How many Republicans will vote against Jim Jordan in the fourth round?

Important note - Jordan may or may not be the Republican nominee or he could pull out of the race before the third vote. Even if that happens, this market will still be live and will still resolve to the number of Republicans voting against him.

• This is a count of Republican House members who vote for another candidate or who vote "present". Members who are physically absent or who abstain will not be included.

• This market applies to the next vote where members of the House vote for named candidates. Any other type of vote (a motion to delay, an up/down vote on any candidate, a vote on whether to vote, etc) will be ignored.

• If there is no further Speaker vote until after the next Congressional elections, this market resolves to N/A