With Scott Benton's resignation, a by-election is scheduled for the Blackpool South seat on 2nd May:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Blackpool_South_by-election

Blackpool South was a Labour held seat for a couple of decades, but was part of the "Red Wall" wave of Parliamentary seats which went to the Tories in the 2019 election. Manifold users are expecting the seat to go back to Labour in the by-election - /SimonGrayson/which-party-will-win-the-blackpool

Who will come second in this seat? Will the Conservatives avoid embarrassing themselves? Will Reform UK have a strong showing in a seat that looks like it might be good for them? Will the Lib Dems or Greens make an impressive run? Or will Labour fall short and finish second?

Feel free to add more candidates to this market. You can either add the name of a political party or independent candidate's names. "Independent" without a name is not a valid option for the market to resolve to.