Will there be another serious assassination attempt against Trump?
144
10kṀ180k
resolved Nov 5
Resolved
NO

After the July assassination attempt and the September Trump International Golf Club shooting, will there be another serious assassination attempt before the election?

'Serious assassination attempt': Assassination attempt that prompts major political opponents to release statements expressing that they are glad he is safe.

Market for Harris: https://manifold.markets/Simon74fe/will-there-be-a-serious-assassinati

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ9,131
2Ṁ3,737
3Ṁ2,691
4Ṁ2,326
5Ṁ2,312
Sort by:

Is there a timeline for resolution on this?

@JeffBerman Election day

@Simon74fe at the 3pm PST resolution time?

Yes, I will use the market close time

@Simon74fe Resolves No

'Serious assassination attempt': Assassination attempt that prompts major political opponents to release statements expressing that they are glad he is safe.

so a successful assassination wouldn't resolve this YES?

@Robincvgr Successful assassination would also resolve YES

Possibly yet another attempt

@Simon74fe Tweet was deleted. NY Post reached a new low in their trustworthiness

Well this is getting ridiculous

(Brand new reporting, could be inaccurate, etc)

Yup already conflicting reports:

bought Ṁ5,000 NO

Assuming this closes on 5 Nov 2024 22:59:00.

@Ashwin Yes, the assassination attempt has to happen before market closure

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy