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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic have a higher market cap than SpaceX after both IPO?
35
Ṁ2kṀ15k
2031
73%
chance
  • Resolves based on closing market cap on the first trading day of whichever company IPOs second

  • Resolves N/A if either company has not begun public trading by December 31, 2030

  • Also resolves N/A if either company is acquired before both IPO

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@Simon74fe How is this market different?

  • It's only about 2026

  • It uses prices at ipo date of the respective companies (instead of prices at the same date)