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MANIFOLD
Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first?
4
Ṁ3kṀ134
2029
31%
SpaceX
31%
Anthropic
38%
Both/Neither/Unclear
  • Resolves SpaceX if SpaceX is first to issue a termination notice or publicly confirm ending the Colossus compute agreement.

  • Resolves Anthropic if Anthropic is first to do so.

  • Resolves Both/Neither/Unclear if termination is mutual or simultaneous, the deal runs to its contractual end (reported as May 2029) or is renewed/replaced without cancellation, or the initiating party can't be determined.

  • Renegotiation, downsizing, partial capacity reallocation, or transfer to a successor agreement does not count as cancellation, the agreement must actually end.

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