Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem?
20
Ṁ2kṀ7.6k2034
93%
OpenAI
3%
Anthropic
1.5%
DeepMind
0.8%
xAI
1.4%
Resolves to the company whose AI model is credited with doing the majority of the work in the first solution to any of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems. Resolves on Clay Institute announcement or earlier on broad expert consensus that the proof is correct. Resolves N/A if no AI-led solution by end of 2034. If a claimed solution is under serious review at close, the market will be extended until it's confirmed or rejected.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
The creator has blocked themselves from betting in this market.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
bought Ṁ5 NO
Everyone is calling each other cheaters and plagiarisers at the moment, or coming up with canned corporate sounding generic nonsense.
People are also trading
Related questions
OpenAI Claims to Solve another Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
35% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
94% chance
In what order will the remaining Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
94% chance
Will a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
5% chance
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
98% chance
Will there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
98% chance
Which AI lab's model will be first to solve a Millennium Problem besides Navier–Stokes?