MANIFOLD
Spain's population end of 2026? [in MM]
11
Ṁ5kṀ2.2k
Dec 31
49%
chance

Resolves to the population number divided by 1 million.

Resolution source: 2026 Q4 data published by Instituto Nacional de Estadística

  • Update 2026-03-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is a numeric market that resolves to a value between 0 and 1, representing Spain's population divided by 1 million. YES/NO markets on Manifold can resolve to any probability between 0% and 100%, which will be used to encode the numerical population value.

Market context
World
Europe
Spain
Manifold Features
Immigration
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Sorry, what do YES and NO mean here?

Given the question, the answer should be numerical, not boolean not YES or NO.

I am new... Am i missing something?

YES/NO markets can be resolved to anything between 0 and 1

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