Resolves YES if, before 2028, Anthropic and Meta enter a binding agreement in which Anthropic buys or leases compute capacity or cloud/inference services from Meta. Any deal size counts, but it must be a signed commercial agreement, not talks, an LOI, or "exploring." Anthropic merely using a third-party cloud that itself rents from Meta does NOT count. Otherwise resolves NO.

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 55% chance (5 traders, as of Jul 1, 2026).

Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027?

MANIFOLD

Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027?

Ṁ1kṀ222

2027

55%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if, before 2028, Anthropic and Meta enter a binding agreement in which Anthropic buys or leases compute capacity or cloud/inference services from Meta.

Any deal size counts, but it must be a signed commercial agreement, not talks, an LOI, or "exploring."
Anthropic merely using a third-party cloud that itself rents from Meta does NOT count.

Otherwise resolves NO.

Market context

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