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Will Israel be attacked from any more countries before 2025?
21
Ṁ370Ṁ2.4k
resolved Apr 13
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YES

Current list: Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen.

For the purposes of this market, non-state actors firing from a country count as an attack from that country.

Attack can be something like a rocket, artillery, or a UAV, as well as a border incursion. The attack does not need to be successful. Cyberattacks do not count.

Nov 25 Update: I just learned that there were attacks from Iraq, which happened before the market began. I added Iraq to the list. The recent Iranian attack doesn't count, it wasn't done on Israeli soil and definitions in maritime law is a whole topic that I don't want to get into.

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Would West Bank/Occupied territories based terrorism count as a new country for the purpose of this question? (since you already included non country Gaza)

@CamillePerrin Good question. I'm going to go with no and change the description, mostly because I don't want to deal with the ambiguity of what even counts as an attack from there.