Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Unemployment rate stays below 4%
Plus
22
Ṁ10kresolved Aug 16
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 80% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
The U.S. unemployment rate will surpass 4.5% in 2024.
33% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Unemployment rate stays above 3%
97% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Positive RGDP growth for each of the next four quarters (Q4 2023 - Q3 -2024)
80% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: No Supreme Court vacancy
86% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Immigration/border/asylum legislation passes
23% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions vs Manifold Time Capsule: Unemployment rate stays above 3%
84% chance
[ACX 2024] Will the US unemployment rate be above 4% in November 2024?
87% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation below 3%
91% chance
Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: Last CPI print of the year shows annual inflation above 2%
90% chance
Will @MatthewYglesias's 2024 predictions perform at least as well as his 2023 predictions by his own assessment?
32% chance