Matthew Yglesias 2024 predictions: African National Congress loses its majority in the South African National Assembly
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https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity, the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
Matt predicts 60% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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