Matt Yglesias 2024 predictions: Will Democrats lose at least one senate seat outside of WV/MT/OH?
Plus
28
Ṁ8494Jan 1
98%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.slowboring.com/p/my-2024-predictions
This is a prediction from Matthew Yglesias's 2024 predictions. I will be resolving early when possible but in cases of ambiguity the ultimate source of truth is Matt's evaluation.
For this market, to make things clearer, I will include King (I-ME) as a Democrat. This will hold even if Matt judges differently
Matt predicts 60% for this question
Matt's calibration for reference:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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