If McCarthy is ousted, will he be reinstated?
Arbitrage Pairs•US Politics•118th Congress
54
345
Ṁ950
resolved Oct 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves N/A if McCarthy is not removed. Close time will be extended until a house speaker is elected.

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ220
2Ṁ141
3Ṁ63
4Ṁ58
5Ṁ48
5 Comments
43 Holders
227 Trades
Sort by:

I created a market specifically for the combined McCarthy Jordan solution, if y'all are interested: https://manifold.markets/Shump/will-kevin-mccarthy-and-jim-jordan

Will Kevin McCarthy AND Jim Jordan be the next speaker?
50% chance. Apparently there's talk about a unity ticket with both of them. Resolves YES if they get elected in some kind of power-sharing agreement. It still counts even if technically only one of them recieves the votes.

1

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Finally found some arbitrage. If he's made speaker again, I make bank in the other market. If not, I make my bet back here.

bought Ṁ10 of YES

There’s a chance…

I was curious if he’d make it back into the chair at all during this Congress, so i started https://manifold.markets/AaronBreckenridge/will-kevin-mccarthy-be-reelected-as?r=QWFyb25CcmVja2VucmlkZ2U

Will Kevin McCarthy be re-elected as Speaker of the House in the 118th congress
24% chance. Resolves YES if Kevin McCarthy is removed and returns to the speakership before the close of the 118th Congress.

Related in US Politics

See more US Politics questions

Related in 118th Congress

See more 118th Congress questions

More related questions