If McCarthy is ousted, will he be reinstated?
US Politics118th Congress
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resolved Oct 25
Resolved
NO

Resolves N/A if McCarthy is not removed. Close time will be extended until a house speaker is elected.

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I created a market specifically for the combined McCarthy Jordan solution, if y'all are interested: https://manifold.markets/Shump/will-kevin-mccarthy-and-jim-jordan

Will Kevin McCarthy AND Jim Jordan be the next speaker?
50% chance. Apparently there's talk about a unity ticket with both of them. Resolves YES if they get elected in some kind of power-sharing agreement. It still counts even if technically only one of them recieves the votes.

1

Finally found some arbitrage. If he's made speaker again, I make bank in the other market. If not, I make my bet back here.

There’s a chance…

I was curious if he’d make it back into the chair at all during this Congress, so i started https://manifold.markets/AaronBreckenridge/will-kevin-mccarthy-be-reelected-as?r=QWFyb25CcmVja2VucmlkZ2U

Will Kevin McCarthy be re-elected as Speaker of the House in the 118th congress
24% chance. Resolves YES if Kevin McCarthy is removed and returns to the speakership before the close of the 118th Congress.

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