Will Alibaba release an open-source Music Generation AI model in 2026?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ60Dec 31
52%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution criteria
This market resolves YES if Alibaba's research team (from any of their labs) officially open-sources a music generation AI model in 2026. The model must be released under an open license (something like Qwen) and weights made publicly available on platforms such as Hugging Face or ModelScope. Resolution will be verified through official Alibaba announcements, press releases, or documentation from these platforms. The model must be released on or before December 31, 2026.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will AI music generation have regressed between Halloween 2025 and 2026?
27% chance
OpenAI confirm work on a Generative Music tool by end of June 2026?
60% chance
When will Sber release music-generating AI for general usage?
Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?
11% chance
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
Will any song on Billboard Hot 100 before 2027 be composed by AI?
77% chance
will an AI Music Streaming site have annual revenue of $50M+ before 2027?
86% chance
Will an AI-generated song receive a Grammy by 2028?
18% chance
Will a fully AI-generated song reach Billboard Top 10 by 2027?
12/30/26
By 2030, will at least one song in the Billboard Hot 100 have been primarily AI-generated?
91% chance