Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to YES if the total sum of disbursements from the Department of Justice's "Anti-Weaponization Fund" (AWF) reaches or exceeds $1 billion (USD) before the fund ceases operations or is dissolved. Otherwise, it will resolve to NO.

Resolution will be based on official reports, audits, or public disclosures released by the U.S. Department of Justice or the U.S. Treasury regarding total payouts from the fund. If the fund is terminated, repealed by Congress, or otherwise dissolved, the market will resolve based on the final total of disbursements recorded at the time of dissolution.

Background

The "Anti-Weaponization Fund" is a $1.776 billion initiative established by the U.S. Department of Justice in May 2026. The fund was created as part of a settlement agreement in a lawsuit filed by President Donald Trump against the Internal Revenue Service and the Treasury Department regarding the disclosure of his tax returns. The fund is designed to provide a process for individuals who claim they have been victims of government "weaponization" or "lawfare" to seek compensation, such as cash or debt relief.

The fund is managed by a panel appointed by the Attorney General and is scheduled to stop accepting new claims by December 1, 2028. Any remaining funds upon the program's conclusion are set to revert to the federal government. The creation of the fund has faced bipartisan criticism and legal challenges, with some lawmakers and watchdogs raising concerns regarding its purpose, oversight, and potential for misuse.

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