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MANIFOLD
Will Trump's Anti-Weaponization Fund survive its initial challenges
2
Ṁ100Ṁ22
2029
37%
chance

This market refers to the Trump administration's Department of Justice announcement of the creation of a $1.776 billion "Anti-Weaponization Fund" in May 2026.

Resolution criteria

  1. The fund makes at least one payout before Trump's four year second term ends.

  2. The cumulative payouts are higher than 10 million dollars.

  3. A payout is officially confirmed by the Department of Justice, a court filing, or a credible news outlet (e.g., AP News, Reuters).

  4. Sources generally agree the payment came from the Anti-Weaponization Fund (ie. Official sources don't say another mechanism was used to payout and retroactively it was branded as coming from the Anti-Weaponization fund).

Market context
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