If Elon musk's Twitter poll tells him to step down as head of Twitter, will he abide by it?
104
152
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resolved Mar 1
Resolved
NO

Musk put a Twitter poll on whether he should step down here, promising to abide by the result. If it goes against him, will he step down?

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1604617643973124097

If the poll gets a "no" majority ", resolves NA. If Musk removes the poll before it's done, resolves as if whoever was ahead when the poll was removed had won.

If Musk has not taken clear steps towards stepping down by market close, resolves as no.

Close date updated to 2023-03-01 1:59 am

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bought Ṁ500 of NO

Buying NO based on the close date. If the close date is going to be extended (e.g. this market just means will be literally ever step down) then I want a refund 🥲

@Gen I wrote in one of the replies below, if he doesn't take clear steps towards stepping down by close this resolves as no. (I'll add it to the description)

bought Ṁ500 of NO

@ShakedKoplewitz Ok exactly as I thought, thanks. No way this dude steps down in 14 days. I’m okay with losing my mana if he announces (beyond a potentially sarcastic tweet) in the next two weeks

predicted YES

@NathanNguyen You may want to read the replies to that tweet.

predicted YES

@IsaacKing Lol whoops

sold Ṁ136 of NO

He has announced he will go when a replacement is found. Does he actually have to be gone by the close date for the poll to resolve YES?

@Nico this still leaves some wiggle room - I'll wait for something more unambiguous before I close.

predicted NO

Looks like he might be trying to wriggle out of it!

‘Replying to another user’s suggestion that “Blue subscribers should be the only ones that can vote in policy related polls”, Musk said: “Good point. Twitter will make that change.”’

Source: https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2022/dec/20/elon-musk-breaks-silence-after-10-million-twitter-users-vote-for-him-to-step-down

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Market time probably needs to be extended, only 30 minutes left.

What timeframe are you counting? e.g. if the poll gets a "yes" majority and then it takes him a year to step down, how does this market resolve?

bought Ṁ100 of NO

@BenjaminCosman Important question!

@BenjaminCosman if there's no clear answer and he hasn't taken unambiguous steps towards stepping down by closing time (march 1), will resolve as him ignoring the poll.