Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the most successful independent US presidential candidate in the last 100 years?
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Ṁ8236Nov 6
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Resolves YES if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. runs as an independent (or third party) and gets more of the popular vote than Ross Perot in 1992 (18.91%).
Based on Chamath's prediction in the latest All In podcast.
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Ross Perot did not get the highest vote share for an independent. He wasn't even number 1 in the 20th century.
Theodore Roosevelt in 1912, 27.4%. There was also Horace Greeley, a dissident Republican endorsed by the Democrats in 1872, he got 43.8% but that questionably counts since it was the same two-party system in a way.
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