Gold missing from Fort Knox? (MAINSTREAM MEDIA EDITION)
16
188Ṁ2373
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
N/A

This a market is identical to:

https://manifold.markets/predyx_markets/gold-missing-from-fort-knox

Except it will resolve based on reporting from:

NYT
BBC

CNN

AP

Reason

Resolution criteria not related to sources (such as the exact amount of gold that needs to be missing etc.) is the same as in the original market.

  • Update 2025-07-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has indicated that if no audit of Fort Knox is reported by the specified sources, the market will resolve to N/A. This is in line with the resolution of the original market referenced in the description.

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Seems like there wasn't any audit? Will resolve NA (like the original market) if there are no objections.

@Shai @mods Won't let me resolve NA. What do?

bought Ṁ50 NO

Seems pretty close to my credence of gold actually missing, although I think there's nontrivial p(gold IS somehow missing but MSM equivocates and doesn't say it), this happens maybe 15% of the time that gold is missing. Thanks for the alternate market!

bought Ṁ75 NO

Alternative titles:
(RELIABLE SOURCES EDITION)
(FUCK ELON EDITION)

(FAKE NEWS EDITION)

(POST-TRUTH EDITION)

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