Resolution Criteria: Gold Missing from Fort Knox?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that the U.S. Bullion Depository at Fort Knox holds less than 147,300,000 troy ounces of gold at any point between February 17, 2025, and June 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Key Conditions:

• Current Official Holdings: According to the U.S. Government, Fort Knox holds 147,341,858.38 troy ounces of gold (see: U.S. Treasury Gold Report).

• Qualifying Criteria for “Yes”: The market will resolve “Yes” if official U.S. government data confirms that Fort Knox’s gold reserves fall below 147,300,000 troy ounces during the resolution period.

• Exclusions:

• If gold is removed after February 17, 2025, it will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

• If an audit confirms that there is no gold missing or that 147,300,000 troy ounces or more remain, the market will resolve to “No”.

**Market will resolve to N/A if no audit occurs by markets close date.

Resolution Sources:

The primary resolution source will be official U.S. Government disclosures, including reports from the Department of Government Efficiency or other relevant agencies. Reports from credible financial or governmental publications may also be considered.

• Update 2025-02-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Important Update:

  • Condition: If official data confirms that Fort Knox’s gold reserves fall below 147,300,000 troy ounces, the market will resolve to YES.

  • Irrespective of Accounting: This resolution applies even if any shortfall is accounted for or explained by adjustments noted in audits.

• Update 2025-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Only Government Sources Will Be Considered

  • Only official government disclosures will be used to resolve the market.

  • Reports or perspectives from non-government sources, including credible financial publications, will not be taken into account.