Will the name of the new league be revealed before June 17th?
Will the name of the new league be revealed before June 17th?
23
470Ṁ2174resolved Jun 17
Resolved
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Resolves YES if the name of the league above diamond is revealed before June 17th, 12:00 AM UTC. (even if it is changed after that, it doesn't matter, the market resolves immediately)
Resolves NO if that doesn't happen.
Resolves N/A if the final name is confirmed as "??? League" before June 17th
If the league is cancelled, resolves based on whether the name it would have had is revealed instead.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I just realized I forgot to specify this -- I would say that announcements off the Manifold platform still count. If it is revealed on the Manifold discord then that would count, for example, even if it still says ??? on the site. Is that how you guys interpreted it?
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.