Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?
Basic
11
Ṁ251Jan 2
65%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The market will resolve when the current conflict between Israel and Hamas ends and remains stable for at least 7 days without indication of re-igniting. The market resolves YES if any agreement (cease-fire, peace treaty, surrender terms, etc) which plays a major role in ending the conflict is led or organized by a country in the Middle East region (excluding Israel, as defined by Wikipedia). If many countries are involved, middle eastern countries must have weak majority and a country with leading international credit for the agreement must be middle eastern to resolve YES.
The market resolves NO if the war ends, with 7 days of stability, in any other way.
As reported by a concensus international news. I will not bet in this market.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
🛑⚔️ Will There Be A Lasting, Formal, Bi-laterally Signed Ceasefire In The 2023 Israel–Hamas War By End Of 2024?
28% chance
Will Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
46% chance
Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by America?
19% chance
Will the current Israel-Palestine conflict end in 2024?
18% chance
Will any country in the Abraham Accords reverse the agreement before the end of the Gaza-Israel conflict?
26% chance
Will there be a conflict between 3 or more states in the middle east before 2025?
20% chance
Will the Israel/Hamas conflict conclusively end in 2024 ?
22% chance
What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)?
Will the Israel/Hamas conflict conclusively end in 2024 ?
20% chance
Will there be a two-State solution for Israel and Palestina?
24% chance