Will Tyler Cowen agree that an 'actual mathematical model' for AI X-risk has been developed by December 31st, 2023?

84

1.1kṀ15k

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

New Year's Resolutions 2024

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ476
2		Ṁ248
3		Ṁ139
4		Ṁ70
5		Ṁ52

People are also trading

By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?

Will @EliezerYudkowsky reverse his opinion on AI safety, before 2030?

Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?

Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?

Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?

Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?

Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Will a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

Related questions

By EOY 2026, will Yann LeCun do a 180 on his view of x-risk from AI?

Will @EliezerYudkowsky reverse his opinion on AI safety, before 2030?

Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?

Will models be able to do the work of an AI researcher/engineer before 2027?

Will X integrate with any prediction market by the end of the 2025?

Will humanity wipe out AI x-risk before 2030?

Will Yudkowsky agree that his "death with dignity" post overstated the risk of extinction from AI, by end of 2029?

Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?

Will a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?

xAI builds truth-seeking AI before 2027?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy