Will there be any racial depolarization in the 2024 election?
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Ṁ1107resolved Nov 10
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In 2020, the CNN exit poll gave Trump +17 for white voters and Biden +45 for nonwhite voters. That would be a value of 62 for racial polarization. Fox's exit had a value of 60.
If the mean of exit poll racial polarization from Fox and CNN is less than 61, this will resolve Yes.
Related to this market, which asks whether polarization will decrease by 6 points or more.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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