Will there be any racial depolarization in the 2024 election?
Basic
9
Ṁ507
Jan 1
87%
chance

In 2020, the CNN exit poll gave Trump +17 for white voters and Biden +45 for nonwhite voters. That would be a value of 62 for racial polarization. Fox's exit had a value of 60.

If the mean of exit poll racial polarization from Fox and CNN is less than 61, this will resolve Yes.

Related to this market, which asks whether polarization will decrease by 6 points or more.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules