Will there be significant racial depolarization in the 2024 election?

Question

In 2020, the CNN exit poll gave Trump +17 for white voters and Biden +45 for nonwhite voters. That would be a value of 62 for racial polarization. Fox's exit had a value of 60.

If the mean of exit poll racial polarization from Fox and CNN is less than 55, this will resolve Yes.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Nov 10, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.