Will LBJ #5 by Robert Caro come out before 2030?
Plus
6
Ṁ2792030
49%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Game of Thrones for politics nerds.
I realize that betting on very long term markets isn't well incentivized under the current Manifold system, so I will also pay a few thousand mana to anyone who gives good info in the comments
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Caro's fifth LBJ book be published by end of 2024?
5% chance
Will Joe Biden publish an autobiography by the end of 2030?
63% chance
Will "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?
75% chance
Will Joe Biden be alive to see 2030?
53% chance
Will Joe Biden still be alive at the beginning of 2030?
55% chance
Will the next book of A Song of Ice and Fire by George R. R. Martin be released by 2030?
72% chance
Will I finish reading The Power Broker in 2024?
44% chance
Will another US president be killed before 2060?
38% chance
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
35% chance
Will any current or former president of the United States be assassinated before 2030?
14% chance