Will LBJ #5 by Robert Caro come out before 2030?
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6
Ṁ279
2030
49%
chance

Game of Thrones for politics nerds.

I realize that betting on very long term markets isn't well incentivized under the current Manifold system, so I will also pay a few thousand mana to anyone who gives good info in the comments

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Does it have to be complete (e.g. an incomplete manuscript published posthumously)? What about fully edited?

Resolves to a % of how complete it feels