Will Jon Tester come within 5 points of winning?

32

1kṀ20k

resolved Dec 4

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

losing by less than 5 percentage points or winning outright resolves yes, losing by more than 5 points resolves no

🇺🇸 US Politics

🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

2024 US Election

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ7,394
2		Ṁ2,369
3		Ṁ1,171
4		Ṁ991
5		Ṁ387

Sort by:

bought Ṁ50 YES

With about half of the votes in, Tester is behind by just 4 points: Montana U.S. Senate Election Results 2024: Tester vs. Sheehy - The New York Times.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/montana_gop_challenger_leads_tester_in_senate_race

Rasmussen has Sheehy winning 50-43.

bought Ṁ300 YES

Just want to confirm that winning by more than 5 points also counts.

@houstonEuler yes

Related questions

Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.5%?

Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?

Will a Democrat win Montana for President by 2050?

Related questions

Will any 2024 House race be decided by less than 0.5%?

Will a Democrat win Montana for President by 2050?

Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules