Which party will control a majority of U.S House delegations after the 2024 election?
Which party will control a majority of U.S House delegations after the 2024 election?
14
260Ṁ2367resolved Nov 21
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%99.0%
Republican
0.3%
Democratic
0.7%
Neither
If the electoral college is tied, this will decide the presidency. As of writing, Republicans control 26 and Democrats control 22, with 2 split. If neither party has 26, this will resolve to 'neither'.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ109 | |
| 2 | Ṁ94 | |
| 3 | Ṁ81 | |
| 4 | Ṁ79 | |
| 5 | Ṁ23 |
Sort by:
By my count GOP has control of 28 house delegations already by called races and could also get Arizona and Alaska.
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Which Party will win the House popular vote in 2026?
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
Conditional on which Party wins the Presidency in 2024, will Democrats win the House in 2026?
What will be the party of the next President of the United States?
Which party will win the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Which party will win the 2028 US Presidential election?
Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?