Will Ukraine destroy another Russian Navy ship by Otober 15th.
6
closes Oct 15
37%
chance

Ukraine has been making increasing use of underwater suicide drones to make up for its lack of navy and target Russian naval ships in the Black sea. On 24/05, the Ivan Kurs was targeted by such USV, although Russia claimed its counter-measure proved effective. On 04/08, the landing ship Olenegorsky Gornyak was damaged in the port of Novorossiysk by one such drone.

On 13/09, a missile strike on the drydocks of the port of Sevastopol damaged a Kilo-class submarine and destroyed the Ropucha-class landing ship Minsk.

This question resolves YES if a ship operated by the Russian Navy is sunk or destroyed by Ukraine by 15/10. The attack doesn't have to be done by USVs.

For the purpose of this question, small boats such as RHIB do not count. If there is uncertainty about whether a given ship is destroyed or merely heavily damaged, I will go by the judgement of Oryx. If a strikes occurs close to 15/10 I might delay the resolution by a few days until more information can be collected.

Related question : Will Ukraine damage another Russian Navy ship by 15/10?

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

Will Russia destroy any bridge over Dnepr river in 2023?
AlexanderZ avatarAlexander Zykin
35% chance
Will Ukraine damage another Russian navy ship by 15/10?
SebastianWorms avatarSebastian Worms
91% chance
Will Ukraine use British Storm Shadow cruise missiles to attack the Kerch Bridge?
JoshuaWilkes avatarJosh Wilkes
30% chance
Before 1 October 2023, will Russia detonate a nuclear device in Ukrainian territory, territorial waters, or airspace?
itsTomekK avatarTomek K 🟡
0% chance
Will any part of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant be damaged by explosions by the end of 2023?
Nostradamnedus avatarNostradamnedus
26% chance
Will Another Russian Drone Explode on Romanian Territory in 2023?
FlorinSays avatarFlorin
46% chance
Did the Russians deliberately blow up the Nova Kakhovka dam? (Resolves NO if it was negligence rather than sabotage)
YaakovSaxon avatarYaakov Saxon
67% chance
Will another Russian missile hit New York by the end of the year?
Stralor avatarPat Scott🩴
37% chance
Will Russia attack a non-military ship in the Black Sea?
JuriChome avatarJuri
34% chance
Will Russia nuke Ukraine?
Gigacasting avatarGigacasting
9% chance
Will an attack on the ZNPP (Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Station) be reported by mainstream news media in 2023
JamesRomeril avatarJames Romeril
33% chance
Will any large military facility within 20 miles of Moscow or St. Petersburg have an explosion or fire in 2023?
Aurelius avatarAurelius
73% chance
Will NATO or Romania Shoot Down a Russian Military Drone Over Romania in 2023?
FlorinSays avatarFlorin
26% chance
Will Russia destroy energy OR heating system for any Major Ukrainian city in Winter 2023/2024 by rockets and drones?
AlexanderZ avatarAlexander Zykin
21% chance
Does Russia will do a nuclear war against Ukraine before new year
Will Russia deliberately destroy the Zaporizha nuclear power plant.
Will Russia shoot down a manned NATO military aircraft before 2025?
JoshuaWilkes avatarJosh Wilkes
26% chance
Will there be a nuclear disaster at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant in 2023?
LachlanMunro avatarLachlan Munro
8% chance
Will Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?
Will there be a serious radiation incident at any nuclear plant in Ukraine by 2024?